While NATO and U.S. Army war planners are focused on the Baltic Region of Europe, and specifically the Suwalki Gap, one area that faces potential kinetic action is in Southeastern Europe, specifically Romania and the Focsani Gate. This won’t happen today or tomorrow, but five years out is right around the corner. Russia’s intent remains to take control of former Soviet Bloc countries and to expand its ‘warm water’ port capability and operational area. At what point will NATO respond to any Russian aggression toward the Focsani Gate, by land or sea, in Romania? NATO cannot wait until this occurs…it must plan now with their EU counterparts in deterrence in several key areas: GLOC, ALOC, Ports, military mobility prepositioning, training, etc. If NATO cannot sustain operations, then our deterrence efforts are hollow we must move as fast or faster than the Russian Federation Forces.
A combined approach between the EU and NATO is imperative in establishing deterrence efforts. With China’s recent withdrawal of infrastructure funding for Eastern Europe, this is the time for the EU to ramp-up and fund infrastructure projects for CY 2020-2017. Motorways capable of crossing through and around the Carpathian Mountains is paramount as well as upgrading the railroad system in the region.
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